π§ Milton’s Extra Place System – Thursday 17 April 2025
With enhanced each-way terms and tactical spring setups in full swing, today’s selections span Newmarket, Cheltenham, Ripon, and Ffos Las. Every pick is filtered through the core EPS strategy: place-value logic, tactical setup, and trainer intent.
π Newmarket – Flat Turf (Good Ground)
14:25 – King Casper (11/1)
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π Lightly-raced, second-up after gelding, from a stable that won this race last year.
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π Each-way angle in a hot 3YO handicap lacking strong exposed form.
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π Ticks EPS criteria for bounce profiles in early-season turf races.
16:10 – Fantasy Master (13/1)
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π Dual end-of-season winner back at 5f with a strong finishing style.
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π― Each-way play under 4-place terms in a field full of returning types and exposed runners.
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π§ Hidden stamina angle suits today’s conditions.
16:45 – Lunar Orbit (12/1)
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π Handicap debutant with promising maiden efforts and one poor run on testing ground (forgivable).
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π‘ EPS pick based on lightly-raced improvement potential + good draw.
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π Market underestimating his upside vs. exposed rivals.
17:20 – Montpellier Green (13/1)
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π Stable-switch angle off a layoff, back on turf.
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π Has past winning form and now under the radar after two quiet AW runs.
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π‘ Fits system flag for returnees from layoffs in low-grade 3YO turf handicaps.
π Cheltenham – Spring Jumps Festival
13:35 – Maxios Prime (6.5/1)
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π Form-first inclusion in juvenile Premier Handicap hurdle.
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π‘ Upwardly mobile after win at Fairyhouse and fits key "second-run-after-break" bounce logic.
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π― Each-way value in a race where many are speculative.
14:10 – Flintara (12/1)
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π 2nd in this race last year off a higher mark.
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π Now returns at ideal trip, mark, and with blinkers refitted.
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π‘ Strong system revival profile with 5 places paid.
14:45 – Molto Bene (13/1)
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π Good run behind Greyval LTO; cheekpieces on now.
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π§ Subtle profile improvement in a big-field mares' final where many are exposed or overbet.
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π― Tactically progressive, place value under 6-place terms.
17:05 – Freddiemissmolli (12/1)
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π Hampered but eye-catching debut; from strong NH family.
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π Second-up improvement angle with tongue tie added.
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π§ Strong EPS logic in 19-runner bumper with 4 places.
π Ripon – Turf Handicaps (Good to Firm in Places)
15:42 – American Bay (8.5/1)
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π Second-up for a new stable; likely prepped on AW return.
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π Lightly raced, well-handicapped, and ideal for drying ground.
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π‘ Each-way play in a big-field sprint with 5 places.
16:15 – Lord Protector (7.5/1)
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π Strong recent 2nd at Newcastle; repeats off same mark here.
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π― Very few rivals arrive in form, and Lord Protector has stamina and race sharpness.
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π§ Place-first value play in a compressed Class 4 middle-distance handicap.
π Ffos Las – Spring Jumps (Good to Soft)
17:12 – Cap Du Nord (6.5/1)
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π Mark has collapsed and showed signs of life LTO with cheekpieces refitted.
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π§ EPS loves this profile in staying chases: revived stayer, class drop, and backable mark.
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π― Each-way grinder in a 4-place structure.
17:45 – Tuscan Rose (5.0/1)
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π Stamina-bred mare; unlucky fall when travelling well LTO.
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π Runner-up twice earlier this season in staying hurdles.
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π‘ Place-focused play with bounce-back angle and strong ground/trip match.
18:15 – Flirtatious Girl (11/2)
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π Listed bumper form, returns after a wind-op.
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π§ Major EPS signal for high-class mares returning in maiden hurdles under 4-place terms.
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π Tactical play against risky favourites with jumping issues.
π All selections are rooted in profile-first logic, avoiding hype and identifying place potential in vulnerable or compressed markets.
πΌ Use disciplined staking. No bet is better than a forced bet.
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