🧾 Milton’s Extra Place System – Results Recap

 📅 Thursday 17 April 2025

🎯 Theme: Spring Place Logic, Bounce Profiles & Tactical Setups Across Turf and Jumps

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🏇 Newmarket – Flat Turf (Good Ground)

14:25 – King Casper (11/1)
✅ WIN (1st of 10)
📌 Delivered on second-up potential after gelding, front-running with authority. EPS logic for lightly-raced bounce candidates proven again.

16:10 – Fantasy Master (13/1)
❌ Unplaced (5th of 9)
📌 Travelled poorly through the dip; never landed a blow. Ground/trip seemed ideal but failed to quicken. Hidden stamina angle didn’t manifest.

16:45 – Lunar Orbit (12/1)
❌ Unplaced (8th of 9)
📌 Hung badly and never ran on. Poor mentally; possibly not ready for this grade/ground. EPS improvement angle didn’t fire.

17:20 – Montpellier Green (13/1)
❌ NR (Withdrawn)
📌 No run. Stable-switch angle deferred for future tracking.

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🏇 Cheltenham – Spring Jumps Festival

13:35 – Maxios Prime (6.5/1)
🥉 3rd of 9 (Placed)
📌 Solid each-way return. Jumped slightly right at the last but stayed on. Validated the system’s focus on progressive bounce profiles in spring juveniles.

14:10 – Flintara (12/1)
❌ Unplaced (4th of 13)
📌 Never travelled into contention. Ground may have been too lively. Tactical revival angle didn’t result in placing.

14:45 – Molto Bene (13/1)
❌ Unplaced (7th of 16)
📌 Raced prominently, but faded out. Did hit the front early which may have used up reserves. Still ran creditably in a chaotic race.

17:05 – Freddiemissmolli (12/1)
❌ Unplaced (11th of 18)
📌 Never travelled, looked green again. Second-up angle didn’t lead to progress—possible slow learner but not one to give up on long-term.

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🏇 Ripon – Turf Handicaps (Good to Firm)

15:42 – American Bay (8.5/1)
❌ Last of 13
📌 Travelled okay then faded completely. No bounce from stable switch. Possibly not handling Ripon’s sharp 6f or still needed the run.

16:15 – Lord Protector (7.5/1)
🥉 3rd of 9 (Placed)
📌 Solid, stayed on late. Race lacked pace which didn't suit—still confirmed the form from Newcastle. EPS place-first value strategy paid off.

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🏇 Ffos Las – Spring Jumps (Good to Soft)

17:12 – Cap Du Nord (6.5/1)
❌ 7th of 9
📌 Hampered and outpaced 3 out. Looked flat and never picked up. No bounce despite profile hints.

17:45 – Tuscan Rose (5.0/1)
✅ WIN (1st of 9)
📌 Strong performance. Took over two out and powered away. EPS stamina/fall-back angle worked to perfection.

18:15 – Flirtatious Girl (11/2)
❌ Unplaced (9th of 13)
📌 Travelled midfield but emptied out. Returning from long break—wind-op angle didn’t ignite today.

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🔍 System Summary – 13 Bets | 2 Wins | 2 Places | 9 Unplaced

• 💰 Win ROI: Backing win only at 1pt = +6.5 pts profit (King Casper + Tuscan Rose).

• 📈 Place Value: Lord Protector and Maxios Prime landed place returns in structured fields.

• 📉 Misses: Several 3YO turf handicappers (Lunar Orbit, American Bay) flattered to deceive.

• 📋 Learnings: Second-up angles must be filtered harder by ground/trip match; EPS logic still strong with juvenile hurdlers and bounce-back stayers.

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✅ Key Takeaway:

EPS logic thrives where setups align—yesterday confirmed bounce-back staying hurdlers and form-first juveniles are fertile ground. Exposed 3YOs on early turf still require deeper filtering. Tactical setups remain king.

📂 Today’s insights now fed into the Little Black Book and Results Audit.

💼 Stick to the system. Place before price. No bet > bad bet.