π Milton’s Extra Place System – Saturday Roundup (12 April 2025)
It was a high-risk, high-reward kind of Saturday with 18 bold value plays spread across Newbury, Ayr, Bangor, Nottingham, Brighton, and Thirsk. The focus remained on big-field handicaps, listed races offering 4–7 places, and underestimated types across class 4–6 sprint/mile setups.
Here's the final snapshot from today’s selections:
Quickfire Summary – Results & Value Terms
14:00 Newbury – Maw Lam @ 29.00 – 5 Places – ✅ 5th (landed place at huge odds)
14:08 Bangor – Cullenwaine @ 11.00 – 4 Places – ❌ 7th (faded tamely)
14:15 Ayr – Cracking Rhapsody @ 12.00 – 4 Places – ✅ WON
14:35 Newbury – Noble Champion @ 13.00 – 4 Places – ❌ 7th (mid-pack, never involved)
15:12 Newbury – Great Acclaim @ 23.00 – 5 Places – ❌ 12th (faded out)
15:35 Ayr – Flash De Touzaine @ 21.00 – 7 Places – ✅ 6th (landed extended place)
16:05 Nottingham – Bama Lama @ 12.00 – 3 Places – ❌ 7th (outpaced early)
16:30 Thirsk – Desert Of The Sea @ 12.00 – 4 Places – ❌ 11th (never travelled)
16:34 Bangor – Shantou Express @ 11.00 – 3 Places – ❌ 3rd (solid effort, landed place)
16:40 Nottingham – Sweet Sonata @ 17.00 – 3 Places – ❌ 5th (ran on late, not enough)
16:54 Newbury – Expressionless @ 15.00 – 5 Places – ✅ 3rd
16:59 Brighton – Professor Tickle @ 10.00 – 4 Places – ❌ 8th (weakened quickly)
17:40 Thirsk – Mysteryofthesands @ 17.00 – 5 Places – ❌ 5th (narrow miss for 4th)
18:40 Thirsk – Roundhay Park @ 15.00 – 4 Places – ❌ 7th (mid-division, no kick)
19:10 Thirsk – Cash In @ 13.00 – 4 Places – ❌ 6th (never landed a blow)
19:20 Nottingham – Star Of Atlantis @ 13.00 – 4 Places – ❌ 6th (never dangerous)
19:30 Brighton – Havana Mojito @ 9.00 – 4 Places – ✅ 2nd
19:40 Thirsk – Calafrio @ 17.00 – 6 Places – ✅ 2nd (huge run at a big price)
π― Final Tally
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4 Winners/Placers landed at prices between 12/1 and 29/1
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3 extra-place finishes paid out in races with 5–7 places
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Several near misses just outside the places (including Mysteryofthesands, Sweet Sonata, Cash In)
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ROI strong on each-way plays thanks to Cracking Rhapsody, Expressionless, Calafrio, and Maw Lam
The ROI for a £1 each-way level stake on all 18 selections was +28.33%.
Breakdown:
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Total Stake: £36 (£2 per selection)
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Total Return: £46.20
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Profit: £10.20
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ROI: +28.33%
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π§ Key Takeaways
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Newbury’s 14:00 Group 3 Fred Darling delivered another massive-odds place (Maw Lam 5th @ 29.0), reinforcing the strategy of digging deeper in wide-open fillies’ stakes.
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Calafrio (2nd @ 17.0) was the standout in a deep-field Class 6, again validating the pace/form/handicap balance approach in extra-place sprints.
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Cracking Rhapsody winning the Scottish Champion Hurdle showed why trainer patterns in top Scottish targets should be respected even when prices drift.
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A few too many mid-field fadeouts in flat handicaps suggest refinement is still needed in spotting those with late-finishing speed vs one-paced grinders.
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