🎯 Close But No Cigar – Heinz Shows Promise Despite Narrow Misses

Date: Monday, 31 March 2025

Stake: £11.40 (114 x £0.10 EW Heinz)
Return: £7.03
Loss: £4.37

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📋 The Selections – 3 Landed Places, 3 Narrow Misses

✅ Global Effort – 16:55 Wolverhampton – Placed @ 12/1
Showed grit after an awkward start to grab 3rd, proving once again his reliability over C&D.

✅ Ciotog – 18:00 Wolverhampton – Placed @ 13/1
Snuck into 3rd at big odds, continuing his solid course profile in middle-distance AW handicaps.

✅ Wadacre Gomez – 18:30 Wolverhampton – Placed @ 13/1
Delivered a determined 3rd place, narrowly denied in a tight finish—great each-way return again.

❌ Yes Honey – 19:00 Wolverhampton – 7th @ 29/1
Showed little but still an understandable dart in a wide-open handicap for improvers.

❌ Capallcliste – 20:00 Wolverhampton – 5th @ 13/1
Raced midfield but couldn’t quicken late. Beaten under 2L for a place—frustrating miss.

❌ Brave Display – 20:30 Wolverhampton – 10th @ 21/1
Faded after a mid-division effort. No late punch this time, but value was there pre-race.

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🧠 Strategy Breakdown

While only three placed, all selections were 12/1 to 29/1, and three delivered profits within Sky Bet Extra Place terms.

This Heinz wasn’t far from exploding:

• One extra place (Capallcliste) = huge payout

• One more place (Yes Honey) = possible 3-figure return

🎯 The setup was right — price, structure, and logic all aligned. Just needed a little more luck at the line.

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💬 Final Word:

“You don’t win big without swings like this.”
The structure was sharp, the odds were honest, and the thinking was solid. Sometimes the payout doesn’t match the quality of the logic, but the long-term edge remains.

📈 Still in the green zone. Next Heinz incoming.